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The final week: trainers' title battle going to wire
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The final week: trainers' title battle going to wire

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Paul Nicholls now leads Willie Mullins by £33,088 with a week to go

 By Stuart Riley 7:56PM 16 APR 2016 

AFTER a sensational Saturday at Ayr Paul Nicholls has wrested back the lead in the title race from Willie Mullins. We take a look at where it will be won and lost over the final week.

HOW THINGS STAND

Having started Saturday trailing by £133,134, Paul Nicholls now leads by £33,088 after a big-money four-timer led by Vicente’s haul of £119,595 for winning the Coral Scottish Grand National.

Nicholls: £2,276,544

Mullins: £2,243,456

HOW WE GOT HERE

Mullins has saddled just 23 winners, compared to Nicholls’ 111, but crucially he has landed many of the biggest pots with seven winners at the Cheltenham Festival and six at Aintree, meaning he finished the Grand National meeting a best-priced 1-8 favourite with a commanding £182,786 lead.

Nicholls has gradually whittled away at that lead with seven winners and a whole host of placed efforts to go into the final week with a slight advantage.

WHAT’S TO COME

Nicholls has four horses entered at his local track Wincanton on Sunday, with none bigger than 2-1. Not one of the races is worth more than £3,574 but he looks set to continue to build his lead with a whole host of entries at Newton Abbot on Monday and Kempton and Ludlow on Tuesday before Mullins can saddle his next runner.

VICENTE

Vicente’s win took Paul Nicholls (right) into the lead in the title race

  PICTURE: John Grossick (racingpost.com/photos)  

The Irish champion has entries at both Perth and Taunton on Wednesday. Nicholls suggested after Vicente’s victory he would not have runners at Perth, so if Mullins can land the £18,000 guaranteed novice hurdle on Wednesday, or the £25,000 guaranteed handicap chase on the Thursday, he could narrow the gap.

Both have options for Thursday’s £25,000-guaranteed handicap chase at Warwick, but the numbers favour Nicholls, who has 48 entries between Sunday and Friday compared to Mullins’ 12.

WHERE IT WILL BE WON

Saturday’s Sandown card – on the final day of the season – will be pivotal. With £485,000 up for grabs Nicholls and Mullins are likely to feature prominently among Monday’s entries.

Nicholls has eight in the £150,000 bet365 Gold Cup, to Mullins’ four. Will Mullins enter Un De Sceaux, or Douvan, in the Grade 1 Celebration Chase with its £71,187 to the winner? Might Vautour be redirected from a Punchestown clash with Cue Card and Don Cossack to hoover up the £28,475 first prize in the Grade 2 Oaksey Chase?

Vroum Vroum Mag (Ruby Walsh) celebrates

Vroum Vroum Mag: will form part of Mullins’ Sandown squad

  PICTURE: Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos)  

One big gun Mullins has already named as being aimed at the meeting is Vroum Vroum Mag, who has the bet365 Select Hurdle, with its £28,475 first prize, on her schedule.

WHAT THEY SAY

After his Ayr heroics, Nicholls, who is chasing a tenth British trainers’ title, said: “Next Saturday is going to be a big day. We’ll have plenty of runners and Southfield Theatre will be our representative in the big race. I’m not going to Perth but we’ll have runners all week.”

In his Saturday Racing Post column Mullins said: “We’ll still be looking at sending a few horses to Perth and Sandown depending on how things go.”

HOW THEY BET

Bookmakers make Nicholls the slight favourite, with the defending champion a best-priced 4-5 with Paddy Power – while Mullins is available at 6-5 with Stan James.

 

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