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Mehta: Jets right for not overpaying for Ryan Fitzpatrick

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As important as Ryan Fitzpatrick is for the Jets, he's not worth $16-18 million a year.Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

As important as Ryan Fitzpatrick is for the Jets, he’s not worth $16-18 million a year.

The stare down between the Jets and Ryan Fitzpatrick has officially reached the loopy stage. It’s sometimes hard to separate fact from fiction amid the social media play-by-play during the NFL’s self-described free agent frenzy.

Contract negotiations have always had a natural ebb and flow, but they’ve become distorted now. The incessant need to know the precise status of talks hourly has created a whole lot of nonsense.

The truth is that the Jets still want Fitzpatrick to be their starting quarterback for the 2016 season. He’s an ideal bridge quarterback. He’s not the long-term solution. So, they won’t overpay.

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Fitzpatrick, owner of an economics degree from Harvard and probably the most intelligent player in the league today, views the stalemate through an economics lense: Supply and demand suggests that he should get a deal commensurate with other starting signal callers. A fair annual average: $16-$18 million.

The Jets might agree with that notion in principle, but it’s not practical for them. The team has a relatively limited budget this offseason and doesn’t believe in breaking the bank for a 33-year-old quarterback with a two-year shelf life, at most.

Fitzpatrick was a terrific leader and player last season – nobody, frankly, is a bigger fan of everything he offers than I am – but it’s hard to fault the organization in this case. It would be foolish to significantly alter the organization’s financial structure and overpay Fitzpatrick.

Remember, the Bills once ponied up a 6-year, $60 million contract, including $24 million in guarantees, for Fitzpatrick. That moved proved disastrous for the franchise after Fitzpatrick underperformed.

Fitzpatrick has super-agent Jimmy Sexton in his corner. He’s a master negotiator and market manipulator, who has gotten blockbuster deals for everyone from Hall of Famer Reggie White to Ndamukong Suh over the past 25 years.

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Sexton is the Doyle Brunson of sports agents: He can bluff with the best of them. It’s a wonder that Sexton hasn’t entered into the World Series of Poker yet. He’d be the odds-on favorite to win it all.

He once told Packers free-agent offensive lineman Chad Clifton to fly to a city of a team interested in his services, check into a hotel and sit there and wait. The ploy worked. Green Bay, spooked by the move, forked over more money to avoid losing their man.

No such move is likely to work on the Jets, who firmly believe that Fitzpatrick doesn’t have many – if any-real options. There are only a few teams in the market for a starting quarterback. It’s easy to connect Fitzpatrick to the Broncos, who just lost Sexton client Brock Osweiler to the Texans, but let’s pull back the curtain to take a closer look at that scenario.

On the surface, the Broncos provide a great situation for any signal caller. Who wouldn’t want to play for a team with an elite defense and two excellent wide receivers (Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas)? In that sense, Fitzpatrick would be a good fit.

John Elway, however, isn’t exactly pleased with Sexton at the moment for the Osweiler negotiations that landed the unproven signal caller an obscene 4-year, $72 million deal with Houston. What are the odds that Elway will now go back to Sexton to overpay for his 33-year-old quarterback client?

Ryan Fitzpatrick exceeds all expectations with the Jets last season.Ken Goldfield/Ken Goldfield

Ryan Fitzpatrick exceeds all expectations with the Jets last season.

The Browns are also looking for a signal caller, but they’re not interested in Fitzpatrick. New head coach Hue Jackson already has a veteran backup on the roster: Josh McCown. Cleveland will likely draft a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick.

The Rams don’t have real interest in making a significant financial investment in Fitzpatrick either, according to sources.

The Jets, Broncos and Browns have discussed trade possibilities involving disgruntled 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, according to sources. The Daily News reported last month that the Jets were intrigued upon hearing that Kaepernick, who desperately wants out of San Francisco, was interested in playing for them, but Fitzpatrick remained the priority.

Fitzpatrick’s reluctance to accept the current offer prompted Mike Maccagnan & Co. to discuss Kaepernick now. The Jets, who aren’t interested in giving up a premium draft pick for Kaepernick, believe that the Broncos will ultimately land the dual-threat quarterback via trade.

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The organization is lining up contingency plans like Texans’ signal caller Brian Hoyer in case Fitzpatrick signs elsewhere, but where can he really go?

Would Fitzpatrick, coming off the best season of his career in a system that he feels most comfortable with, really bolt for a backup job for the same or less money?

The Jets are the only team in the league guaranteeing him a starting gig in 2016. The Broncos door will close if they trade for Kaepernick. Chip Kelly’s door in San Francisco would likely open for Robert Griffin III or Mark Sanchez rather than Fitzpatrick.

There’s simply no other situation that makes any sense for Fitzpatrick. Would he hang in the ether for days or even weeks?

The Jets realize the importance of Fitzpatrick’s intangibles – he was a great influence on everyone that he came in contact with – but there’s a feeling that the surrounding pieces (Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and the running backs) were the reasons for the quarterback’s career year.

That’s underselling the value of Fitzpatrick’s leadership, but the team is prepared to find alternatives if need be, including turning back to Geno Smith. They’re ready to absorb the loss rather than break the bank.

It’s a shrewd – but understandable – approach.

@MMehtaNYDN

Tags:
new york jets ,
nfl ,
ryan fitzpatrick ,
buffalo bills ,
green bay packers ,
houston texans ,
denver broncos ,
john elway ,
nfl transactions ,
cleveland browns ,
colin kaepernick ,
robert griffin iii ,
mark sanchez ,
chip kelly ,
brandon marshall ,
eric decker

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