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Ashforth's Angles: Surely Scotland can do better?
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Ashforth's Angles: Surely Scotland can do better?

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Two runners: no Scottish representation in Ayr novice chase

Two runners: no Scottish representation in Ayr novice chase

  PICTURE: John Grossick  

 By David Ashforth 6:00PM 28 FEB 2016 

WHAT’S that all about, then? There are only two runners for the novices’ chase at Ayr (1.40), one from Ireland and the other from Warwickshire. Surely Scotland can do better than that? Where are Lucinda Russell and James Ewart when you need them? Nicola Sturgeon would be disappointed and I don’t suppose Paddy Power and the Horserace Betting Levy Board are too pleased, either.

If it’s any consolation to the sponsor, Dawn Homes Future Developments, I can reveal that they have four future housing developments, in Howwood, Kirkintilloch, Fairlie and Croftfoot. Do buy one or two of their houses if you can.

Luckily, it’s not long until the 11 runner maiden hurdle (2.10) which conjures up memories of Sherlock Holmes. If you remember, in The Sign of Four, Holmes reminds Dr Watson that he has often told him “when you have eliminated the impossible whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.”

It’s a cracking system and probably paid for Holmes’ pipes and tobacco. The maiden hurdle is barely worthy of Holmes’ attention, since most of the field are crying out for elimination on the ground that, so far, they don’t seem to be much good. Time, of course, may prove otherwise although, in the case of some of them, it had better hurry up.

If you eliminate all the runners that don’t seem to be much good plus Bill D’Aron, on paper an unlikely winning debutant, you are left with the highly probable and doubtless highly short-priced Oldgrangewood. Almost a year ago, Oldgrangewood won a maiden point-to-point for four-year-olds at Lingstown and, as is the way of the world, four days later was whisked off to the sales, sold for £70,000 and resurfaced at Dan Skelton’s yard.

On the basis of his two hurdling efforts this winter, Oldgrangewood is likely to saunter home. Meanwhile, in Plumpton’s own maiden hurdle (2.00), six of the 14 runners will be trying not to repeat their latest efforts, when they were pulled up. Skelton has a decent chance with Baratineur but the most interesting runner is the four-year-old Graasten.

Questions to be answered

You may not remember his two victories at Krefeld for Peter Schiergen in 2014 and 2015 but you will surely recall his creditable fifth in a Group Two race at Cologne last June, followed by an anonymous appearance in the Group One Deutsches Derby at Hamburg followed, in October, by his sale to Gary Moore for 48,000 guineas. Will Graasten recapture past glories? Can he jump hurdles? Is he any good? We will soon find out.

Not to be left out, Wolverhampton presents its own maiden race mystery in the form of Nine Carat and trainer Keith Henry Clarke. I’ve never heard of either of them and both will be making their first appearances at a British racecourse.

Clarke seems to have ridden 21 winners over jumps in Ireland between 1999 and 2012, since when he has run a small stable in County Meath. Poitin, bought for 800 guineas, has won four times for Clarke at Dundalk. Nine Carat’s history offers less hope. Interesting, though.

 

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