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World Class: How hot pace killed the Triple Crown dream

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Exaggerator wins the Preakness Stakes

Exaggerator finally beats old rival Nyquist to land the Preakness Stakes

  PICTURE: Jessie Holmes/EquiSport  

 By Sam Walker 11:47AM 23 MAY 2016 

THERE’S a scene in Seabiscuit where jockey Red Pollard is goaded into racing straight out of that gate in an act of bravado that winds up losing him the race. If you haven’t seen it you could just watch a replay of Saturday’s Preakness Stakes.

This time Mario Gutierrez was the jockey who made the race-losing move, urging odds-on favourite Nyquist through the mud to clock the fastest opening split in the history of the Preakness – 22.38s.

Just think about that for a second. He went quicker than any horse who has run in, let alone won, the Preakness since 1909. Even on a fast surface that would be too quick, but here he was charging off like a scalded cat on a track that rode like sloppy clay.

Gutierrez clearly wanted to lead, but that lead came at a price. In the end he won the battle to the first turn, but wound up losing the war; Nyquist eventually fading into third to lose his unbeaten record.

Pace benefactor

Nyquist’s old foe Exaggerator was the benefactor of the hot pace, winning America’s second classic by three-and-a-half lengths from Cherry Wine.

Exaggerator (122) ran the first quarter mile over two seconds slower than the favourite, which allowed him to pull well clear in the straight as the pace horses faded.

The winner’s extreme waiting tactics have paid off twice this year – he’s only won twice – and on both occasions he won easily after being held up off a ludicrously hot pace.

That leaves a bit of a question mark over whether he could repeat this sort of big success off a more even pace, or whether he would simply plug on for a place, as he did in his three other starts this season.

Belmont bounce back?

To be fair to the jockey of Nyquist, he used a similar move to great effect in the Kentucky Derby two weeks back, asking the horse to go slightly quicker than ideal to grab a handy sit on the rail. On that occasion the pace soon steadied and he got the run of the race.

In the Preakness, however, he went a lot quicker than ideal for longer than ideal and still failed to grab a place on the rail. He was forced to race wide throughout and did well to finish as close as he did.

If he had gone a more considered pace he might now be unbeaten in nine starts and heading to next month’s Belmont Stakes as a legitimate contender for the Triple Crown. But he went too fast, got beaten and now the dream is over.

He may well bounce back in the Belmont Stakes. If he hadn’t run in the Preakness he’d be heading to the Belmont as the odds-on favourite but he now finds himself second favourite behind Exaggerator.

If he goes off as fast as he did in the Preakness he clearly won’t succeed at Belmont Park, but there’s still a chance that he’s simply the class horse of his generation.

Rival for The Gurkha?

Another Classic winner was turned over when Galileo Gold came off second best against Awtaad in the Irish 2,000 Guineas at the Curragh on Saturday.

Galileo Gold was favourite on the back of his win in the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket last month, but he had no answers to the strong-travelling winner, who put himself in line for a stellar season with a two-and-a-half length win and a career best RPR of 123.

Nothing was going to beat the winner on Saturday, but things didn’t go perfectly for the runner-up, who was keen early, boxed on the rail for much of the race and had to squeeze through a gap to make his run.

Galileo Gold should bounce back with a clear trip and off a stronger pace, while Awtaad could yet improve again.

He now joins The Gurkha (122) as a horse who has won at a mile, but who is bred for further and looks set for more Group 1 success this season. Plans for both colts are fluid and connections may be eyeballing each other before making any definitive plans.

Minding still queen

Minding was the third Classic winner to taste defeat on the weekend, losing by a head to Jet Setting in the Irish 1,000 Guineas on Sunday.

Jet Setting travelled comfortably on the lead turning for home and may have been ignored slightly by her rivals. Minding had two lengths to make up on the winner in the straight and gradually closed the gap but just couldn’t catch the winner.

Both horses posted RPRs of 117. It was another career best for the winner, who has progressed rapidly on soft ground this spring, but it paid to be handy at the Curragh and in a truer test the runner-up is likely to remain queen of the fillies’ division.

The best performance in the world last week fell to Fascinating Rock (125), who beat Found (115) in the Tattersalls Gold Cup.

TOP OF THE CLASS: Fascinating Rock 125 Dermot Weld (Ire) (Tattersalls Gold Cup, Curragh, 1m2f110y, 22 May)

TOP LIST

Name (country trained) Race Rating
1 California Chrome (US) Dubai World Cup 127D
2 Winx (Aus) Doncaster Mile 126T
3 Aerovelocity (HK) Centenary Sprint Cup 125T
Fascinating Rock (Ire) Tattersalls Gold Cup 125T
Nyquist (US) Kentucky Derby 125D
Postponed (GB) Sheema Classic 125T
7 Chautauqua (Aus) Black Caviar Lightning 124T
Terravista (Aus) Black Caviar Lightning 124T
  Werther (HK) QEII Cup 124T
10 Awtaad (Ire) Irish 2,000 Guineas 123T
Dee Majesty (Jpn) Satsuki Sho 123T
Duramente (Jpn) Sheema Classic 123T
  Exosphere (GB) Jockey Club Stakes 123T
Fame Game (Jpn) Diamond Stakes 123T
  Galileo Gold (GB) 2,000 Guineas 123T
Makahiki (Jpn) Hochi Hai Yayoi Sho 123T

TURF

Name (country trained) Race Rating
1 Winx (Aus) Doncaster Mile 126
2 Aerovelocity (HK) Centenary Sprint Cup 125
Fascinating Rock (Ire) Tattersalls Gold Cup 125
  Postponed (GB) Sheema Classic 125
5 Chautauqua (Aus) Black Caviar Lightning 124
  Terravista (Aus) Black Caviar Lightning 124
  Werther (HK) QEII Cup 124
8 Awtaad (Ire) Irish 2,000 Guineas 123
Dee Majesty (Jpn) Satsuki Sho 123
Duramente (Jpn) Sheema Classic 123
  Exosphere (GB) Jockey Club Stakes 123
  Fame Game (Jpn) Diamond Stakes 123
  Galileo Gold (GB) 2,000 Guineas 123
Makahiki (Jpn) Hochi Hai Yayoi Sho 123

DIRT

Name (country trained) Race Rating
1 California Chrome (US) Dubai World Cup 127
2 Nyquist (US) Kentucky Derby 125
3 Effinex (US) Oaklawn Handicap 122
Exaggerator (US) Preakness Stakes 122
5 Taris (US) Humana Distaff 121
6 Exaggerator (US) Kentucky Derby 120
7 Frosted (US) Al Maktoum Challenge R2 119
  Salutos Amigos (US) Carter Handicap 119
  Songbird (US) Las Virgenes 119
10 Curalina (US) La Troienne Stakes 118
Destin (US) Tampa Bay Derby 118
  Melatonin (US) Oaklawn Handicap 118
  Muarrab (UAE) Golden Shaheen 118
Rich Tapestry (HK) Al Shindagha Sprint 118

 

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