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Euro 2024 qualifying: Wales host Croatia in must-win encounter

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Nathan Broadhead celebrates Wales' equaliser in Croatia
Venue: Cardiff City Stadium Date: Sunday, 15 October Kick-off: 19:45 BST
Coverage: Live on BBC Radio Wales, BBC Radio Cymru, BBC Sounds, BBC Sport website and app, plus live text. Highlights on Match of the Day Wales, BBC One Wales from 22:30 BST and later on demand.

Wales host Croatia on Sunday in a match they must win to have a realistic chance of qualifying for Euro 2024.

Wales are fourth in Group D with three games left, three points behind World Cup semi-finalists Croatia in second.

With only the top two teams qualifying automatically, Wales need to win all three of their matches or hope leaders Turkey or Croatia drop points.

“We know what’s required of us, what we have to do,” said Ben Davies, Wales captain in Aaron Ramsey’s absence.

“We knew what we were coming into before this camp. We all knew that three wins was what we were targeting so from our standpoint it hasn’t changed.

“So three big games and it starts with a tough one against Croatia. They’re a world-class team, they’ve shown that for a long time now with a lot of the same players.

“But that doesn’t mean they’re unbeatable. We have to show them a lot of respect for the quality they’ve got, but we have to go in believing we can get a result and we’ve been working all week building up to that.”

As top seeds, Croatia will be expected to beat Armenia and bottom side Latvia next month. Two victories in those games would give them 16 points, meaning a point against Wales would be enough to see them finish above Robert Page’s men.

If Wales win all three of their remaining games, though, they would finish on 16 points and above Croatia because of a superior head-to-head record, having drawn 1-1 with them in Split in March.

A draw or defeat against Croatia on Sunday would effectively end Wales’ hopes of qualifying automatically before their final two games against Armenia and Turkey next month.

If Wales do miss out on the top two, their only remaining route to Euro 2024 would be the play-offs in March.

A disappointing campaign so far has put manager Page under pressure, with criticism from fans and pundits particularly fierce after June’s back-to-back defeats by Armenia and Turkey.

Football Association of Wales (FAW) chief executive Noel Mooney has said the governing body will not make any “knee-jerk” decisions over Page’s future, but added the team must keep winning games.

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