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Eleven through, five to go – who needs what to qualify?

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Euro 2016 tables

It was never going to be easy.

With 24 teams in the group stages at Euro 2016, that does not divide neatly into 16 qualifying for the knockout stages.

The tournament will need a helping hand from Uefa in the guise of having the best four third-placed teams from the six groups progressing to the last 16.

So far, 11 teams have progressed: France, Switzerland, Wales, England, Slovakia, Germany, Poland, Spain, Croatia, Italy and Hungary.

BBC Sport helps explain which sides can go through, why yellow cards could prove crucial and who is in pole position in the ‘third-place table’.

Evans, Rooney and Bale<!–

Group-by-group: Who is going through and who is going home?

Group A

Host nation France finished as group winners on seven points. Switzerland, who drew 0-0 with France in their final group game, were second on five points.

Albania beat Romania 1-0 on Sunday, their first win at a major tournament. They now face a wait to find out if they will progress to the last 16 as one of the best third-place sides. It looks unlikely.

Group B

Wales finished top of the group with six points, while England finished on five after drawing 0-0 with Slovakia in their final group game.

Slovakia finished third – and are the first third-placed side to be assured of a place in the last 16. They will face either Germany or the winners of Group D.

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Group C

Germany won the group after beating Northern Ireland 1-0 in Paris, while Poland secured second spot with a win over Ukraine.

With three points and a goal difference of zero, Northern Ireland are well placed to progress. They are guaranteed to finish above Albania – and only two sides who finish third will miss out. They face a wait to find out for sure.

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Group D

Spain are through but will finish second if they are beaten by Croatia, who are also through.

Should Croatia lose, the Czech Republic will finish level with them on four points if they beat Turkey, with goal difference or disciplinary records likely to decide who takes second spot. But in that scenario both teams would progress.

Turkey will finish third if they win.

Group E

Italy have already sealed their place in the last 16 and are guaranteed group winners, while Belgium, Sweden and the Republic of Ireland will contest second and third places.

The Republic must win to stand any chance of qualifying, although Martin O’Neill’s team – currently bottom of the table – may have to settle for third place.

Belgium will finish second with a draw against Sweden, who will ensure the runners-up spot themselves with a victory – unless the Republic win as well and, in doing so, also finish with a better goal difference. That is a challenge because Sweden enter the final round of group matches level on points with the Republic, but with a goal difference advantage of two.

There is an outside chance that the Republic and Sweden could finish level for second on points, head-to-head record, goal difference and goals scored if both win. If that happens fair play records will come into play. Going into the final round of group matches, Sweden have a marginally better fair play record.

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Group F

Many expected Portugal to top this group – but they are currently third, without a win in two games. If they beat Hungary, they will be guaranteed a top-two finish. Hungary are already through, as they are guaranteed to finish as at least one of the best third-placed sides.

Iceland could top the group if they beat bottom-placed Austria, and will progress if they match or better Portugal’s result.

However, goals and disciplinary records could yet come into play here. More on that now…

What happens if teams finish level on points?

The top two teams from each group qualify automatically for the last 16, but how are sides separated if they finish on the same number of points?

The final position of teams will be decided by these criteria, in the following order:

  1. Head-to-head record in the group
  2. Points in the match(es) between the teams in question
  3. Goal difference in those matches
  4. Goals scored in those matches
  5. If teams still have an equal ranking, the criteria are reapplied but only to matches between the teams in question to determine their final rankings. This only applies if there are more than two teams level on points
  6. If teams are still level, it comes down to goal difference in all group matches, followed by goals scored, fair play conduct in the group stage, and finally Uefa national team coefficient rankings

Who is likely to finish third in each group?

Group A: Albania beat Romania on Sunday to secure third spot.

Group B: Slovakia drew with England to finish in third place.

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Group C: Northern Ireland were beaten by Germany but finished third.

Group D: Whoever wins the game between third-placed Czech Republic and Turkey in fourth will finish no lower than third. Turkey must win or will go out, while a draw guarantees the Czech Republic third place. Only if the Czech Republic win and second-placed Croatia lose to Spain does it get complicated. Croatia and the Czech Republic be level on four points and head-to-head following their 2-2 draw. If their goals scored and conceded are level, the Czechs would progress via fair play as it stands – they have been shown two yellow cards compared to Croatia’s four.

Group E: One of Republic of Ireland, Sweden or Belgium. Republic of Ireland must get a better result against Italy than Sweden manage against Belgium. If Ireland and Sweden both win, second place will come down to goal difference between those two teams, while Belgium go out. If Ireland and Sweden both lose, goal difference will determine who finishes third and who is fourth. Belgium will finish third if they lose to Sweden and the Republic do not beat Italy.

Group F: Portugal are currently third and will probably stay there unless they beat group leaders Hungary. If Portugal do win, Hungary will be relying on the result of the game between Iceland and Austria; an Iceland win would relegate Hungary to third; a draw would leave Iceland third; while an Austria win would keep Hungary second and send Iceland out.

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What about that third-placed table?

We know that the top two teams go through, but what happens to those third-placed teams? Remember only four can go through from six.

The following Uefa criteria will be applied, in this order:

  1. Points tally
  2. Goal difference
  3. Goals scored
  4. Fair play ranking in the group stage
  5. Uefa national team coefficient rankings (These are based on all competitive results since September 2010. England are ranked third overall but Republic of Ireland are 20th of the 24 finalists, Wales are 22nd and Northern Ireland 24th)

Who will the third-placed teams play in the last 16?

Here’s a Uefa’s graphic to help explain which third-placed teams will face which group winners:

Uefa table<!–

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